U.S. official: Al-Assad faces 'fight or flight' decision
By Barbara Starr
The killing of three top officials by an explosion on Wednesday has left Syrian President Bashar al-Assad at a "decision point," a senior U.S. official told CNN.
"From an intelligence point of view the regime has to decide: fight or flight," the senior official said.
Another senior official from the Middle East region underscored that assessment, telling CNN the attacks indicate "strong cracks in the regime."
"This is a potential tipping point," the Middle East official said.
The nature of the violence and the proximity to al-Assad's inner circle of power is causing the increased concern from American government officials in the last few days, the American source said. A second senior U.S. official concurred with that assessment.
When asked if the al-Assad regime also believes itself to be at a decision point, the U.S. official the there is at least some information to back up that belief.
Security Clearance: Your source for national security news and analysis
But the king of Jordan, whose country borders Syria, warned that despite a "tremendous blow," the regime is not going to give up.
"Damascus has shown its resilience. So I think maybe we need to keep this in perspective, although this is a blow," King Abdullah II said in an interview that aired Wednesday on CNN's Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer. "I'm sure that the regime will continue to show fortitude, at least in the near future.
"I don't think we should jump to any conclusions of writing the regime off in the near future."
When Defense Secretary Leon Panetta told reporters Wednesday that the Syrian situation is "rapidly spinning out of control," he was reflecting growing concern about the fighting having reaching the Syrian capital and growing worries about Syria's chemical weapons, officials tell CNN.
With the Syrian regime now having moved some of its chemical weapons on at least one recent occasion, the Obama administration is stepping up efforts to conduct an "assessment of intentions" of the Syrian regime to employ that deadly arsenal against its own people, according to the second senior U.S. official who has direct knowledge of the efforts.
At the same time, senior U.S. officials involved in this issue have spoken privately but directly with their Russian counterparts in the past several days to reinforce that any use of the chemical weapons by the Syrians is a so-called "red-line" for the United States.
"This would be a game changer," the official said, who declined to be identified because the sensitivity of the information.
The official emphasized that the U.S. has been watching Syria's chemical and biological weapons sites for months to determine the security of the weapons. But since Assad moved some from a facility recently, the challenge has been to figure out what, if anything, the Syrian leader plans to do with them, he said. "The movement of the chemical weapons has generated additional concern inside the U.S. government."
At a Pentagon press conference, the chief UK defense minister made it clear that both the United States and Britain want to see Russia and China weigh in.
"The regime exists at the moment because it receives tacit support from other powers in the world," said UK Secretary of State for Defense Phillip Hammond. "If those powers are sending clear messages about the limits of their tolerance for the activities of the regime, that will be an effective constraint on the activities of the regime. So our diplomacy has to focus on getting those who have the greatest influence with the regime to ensure that it acts responsibly in relation to chemical weapons."
One challenge is to define inside the Obama administration the specific terms of what the red line may be. Officials have suggested it's the "employment" of weapons that is the red line, but acknowledged at that point it may be too late to stop their actual use. The U.S. is making the case to the Russian that they must once again make clear to al-Assad the implications of using chemical weapons.
"It's our sense even though the Russians are supporting the Assad regime that chemical weapons are a significant concern to them," the official said. "They understand the stakes get much higher and their moral ground gets much lower" if chemical weapons are used.
The Jordanian king also voiced concern about any scenario involving chemical weapons.
"I think at the end of the day, all of us would suffer from that. I'm sure that (the Russians) would be very supportive of international reactions, because at the end of the day, we all pay the price," Abdullah said.
@natlsecuritycnn on Twitter
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Where is Syria and who is Assad? Isn't that one of the countries Romney visited this week to campaign???
Idiot
I assumed that Assad was going to step down soon. I now think that I was wrong. Assad just replaced the General who was killed and most significantly he did it very publically with a photo given to the media. As CNN's Fareed said; we truly do not what is going on in Syria btw, the govt. – the rebels – the general public and the military. It would be foolish for us to get involved until we find out exactly what is going on in Syria.
ITS OK TO MAKE A CHANGE
It is clear that demolishing the capability of Syria to respond to showering Israel with all kind of weapons in case if the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. That is it. A strategy.
LETS NOT TALK ABOUT WHAT MIGHT HAPPEN LETS TALK ABOUT WHAT WILL HAPPEN
hey lennon have you had any egg-role lately what about fortune cookie
Not that I agree what Assad's family of their humiliation to the majority of its Sunni Muslim population. What I don’t agree of why now to defragment Syria when Israel is at the spot in confronting Iran after it defeating all the Arab nations in any way you could imagine. A Humiliation would become a determination to strike back at any cost.
YOU CANNOT KILL AN IDEA
What is the world coming to? Why are we supporting terrorism in the name of democracy. You think if the government is brought down, we will all go back and live in peace. Now that we have created democracy in Iraq, let the people of Syria enjoy it eventually. I wonder who is the next western target? I am sure it is not the terrorist kingdom called Saudia Arabia.
Well......he could always go back to the North Pole and make toys with the rest of the elves.
Syria as we speak is falling to the hand of the Muslim extremists only because Bashar al-Assad stood beside Iran and ignored the majority of his Sunni people. Israel should be aware for the fight of its life because the Muslim Wahhabism and Hezbollah would join hands to bombard Israel till eternity by disregarding the life of their people. Jordan is next to fall.
Whether your prediction comes true or not, you will end up ... keep on crying.
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Its easy to see America will not get involved in this mess because if they do, it will turn into WW III. I dont blame them for not getting involved. However, I hope we get to see the syrians pull al-assad out of a sewer and ... well you know the rest.
RED LINE, YELLOW LINE and BLUE LINE !!
The "clowns" running this country, don`t have a clue (let alone what color what line should be) what their talking about. Obama, Clinton, and all those other clowns, can`t even get anything correct. Ambassador Rice, will tell you that Russia, and China are helping to protect this guy, well the purpose of any resolution put forward, should include EVERYBODY stooping the killing.They would have you beleive that the Rebels wilkl just stop the killing of the Regime forces because The president of syria tells his people to stop and go back to the barracks and just allows the killing / revenge to go on. The clowns need to ask themselves, "If you were shooting at Russian, or Chineese troops and they said if you stop shooting, and bombing us we`ll stop trying to kill you. Really? This Administration, and its representative in the United Nations would have you beleive that argument that makes no sense! I would stop shooting at you either ! The only one held resposable for killing is the regime. My question is "WILL THE REBELS STOP AS WELL" ? If you beleive anything on any issue these idiots spout, your as bright as they are. Ask Susan Rice, and Obama abiout Ruwanda. Tell everyone about Human Rights, and people being slaughtered. My thoughts regarding this Administration
Enough non-sense for a day?
Perhaps you should seriously consider a return to school, and letting go that stuff you smoke now.
It's very hard to see how the regime can come back from this.
My fear is they may be desperate. One strategy they might try would be to launch a devastating retaliation on the people of Syria, possibly using chemical weapons, in the calculation that although Russia and China would be "appalled by the violence" they would still resist outside intervention. Assad would blame the acts on "extremist in the army" or "western backed terrorists" who would be "brought to justice", thus appearing as a moderate and steady leader at least to his supporter base.
We don't nuclear bomb other people or our people. We are not the US. Don't sit at home and speculate.
Typical CNN PROPAGANDA. Mohamed J is a PAID Saudi agent.
I agree, andy. All the Western news media is right-wing, but some agencies are more right-wing than others. In the end, they all spread right-wing propaganda!
This is typical CNN PROPAGANDA!
They have NO reporters in Syria but continue to LIE to the world about the events there.
The so called "activists" are the same Murderers that were killing US Marines in Iraq and now they are killing inocent women and children in Syria. I wonder how huch the CNN reporters are being PAID by the Saudi Govt to spread this BS?
CNN has NO credibility after the LIES they have told us about Libya and Syria. The National Enquirer is more thruthful than CNN.
Mohamed Janjun is a PAID Saudi agent.